When one talks about civil wars, or long-term military insurgencies, the answer to this double-question is key: “Who’s goin’ and who’s stayin’?”
If you are someone caught in the middle of the conflict, the sensible choice when it comes to commitment or even just co-operation, is the force that is stayin’.
That’s why outsiders like the US or International Coalition Forces in Afghanistan can never beat the Taliban. Ioannis “Gianni” Koskinas of New America, an analyst with long experience in Central Asia and in insurgency warfare, says one thing is certain: The Afghan “unity” Government can’t even get to stability in the time the Obama White House wants to give them.
“Obama’s Two-Year Plan For Afghanistan Is Doomed” – New America